Fire ByakkoTier 1
at DTR STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-1-4
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.7%
avg ELO +3.6 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1472
· median 1472
· range 1472–1472
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1099
Q1 1302
Q3 1470
1668
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 45.5% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.4% | +3.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 18.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.8% | +4.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 9.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.3% | +2.1 |
| Water Fractal | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -9.8 |
| Water Genbu | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Byakko decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
